UK betting markets make Trump odds-on favourite to win US election


Gamblers have swung back behind ‘odds-on favourite’ Joe Biden after bookies had previously slashed Donald Trump’s odds on a second term. 

Biden, whose odds dropped to just a 25.8 per cent chance of winning at one point last night, has once again become odds-on favourite to win.   

Biden was favourite at 8/13 close to midday Wednesday, according to aggregate site Oddschecker, versus Trump at 7/4.   

The Democratic candidate’s performance in key states over the past few hours and his potential routes to victory would explain the sudden swing back in his favour.  

Up until late Tuesday, Biden had been the frontrunner among betting markets with a 69 per cent chance of winning

Donald Trump has emerged as narrow odds-on favourite to win the US election according to bookmakers, as gamblers abandoned Joe Biden (right) overnight to bet on the President 

Biden was way ahead before the polls closed at 1/2, but that lead quickly fell away as results rolled in showing Trump had out-performed the polls, just as he did in 2016. 

At one point, Joe Biden had been given a 70 per cent chance of victory. That flipped overnight to give Trump a 69 per cent chance of victory.

Trump then fell back to 58 per cent, putting him narrowly ahead but with results still too close to call. 

£400million has been wagered on the election, UK betting site Betfair says. 

While a majority of money bet on the election had gone on Biden, bets placed on the night itself were mostly placed on Donald Trump.

Betting ahead of election day had largely gone with pollsters, who predicted Joe Biden as the likely victor.

But as early results started coming in, the narrative flipped as it appeared Trump had out-performed his polls – just like he did in 2016.

Wins in the swing states of Ohio and Florida for Trump took the option of an early, easy win off the table for the Democrats.

But later on Biden flipped the state of Arizona, keeping him in the race, and won the key rust belt state of Minnesota. 

It now appears the race will come down to three so-called Rust Belt states – Michigan, Wisconsin and Pennsylvania.

However, counts in all three states were progressing slowly. Officials in Pennsylvania had warned ahead of time that the count could take several days to complete.

That raises the prospect that the overall winner of the election might not become clear until Friday, when the deadline for counting votes expired.

It has also teed up the possibility of a bitter and protracted legal battle similar to the one that played out in Florida in the 200 Bush vs Gore election, that ended up going all the way to the Supreme Court.  

Trump and Biden were locked in tight races in battleground states across the country Tuesday night as they concluded an epic campaign that will shape America’s response to the surging pandemic and foundational questions of economic fairness and racial justice.

From coast to coast, races were too early to call in the most fiercely contested states on the map, including Florida, North Carolina, Georgia and Pennsylvania. 

Supporters fill the street as Democratic presidential candidate former Vice President Joe Biden speaks during a stop in Philadelphia on Tuesday

Supporters fill the street as Democratic presidential candidate former Vice President Joe Biden speaks during a stop in Philadelphia on Tuesday

Protesters gather in front of the White House during the 2020 presidential election

Protesters gather in front of the White House during the 2020 presidential election

Americans made their choices as the nation faced a confluence of historic crises with each candidate declaring the other fundamentally unfit to navigate the challenges. 

Daily life has been upended by the coronavirus, which has killed more than 232,000 Americans and cost millions of jobs.

Millions of voters put aside worries about the virus – and some long lines – to turn out in person, joining 102 million fellow Americans who voted days or weeks earlier, a record number that represented 73 per cent of the total vote in the 2016 presidential election.

Early results in several key battleground states were in flux as election officials processed a historically large number of mail-in votes. 

Democrats typically outperform Republicans in mail voting, while the GOP looks to make up ground in Election Day turnout. 

That means the early margins between the candidates could be influenced by which type of votes – early or Election Day – were being reported by the states.

Biden entered Election Day with multiple paths to victory, while Trump, playing catch-up in a number of battleground states, had a narrower but still feasible road to clinch 270 Electoral College votes.

Read more at DailyMail.co.uk