How Joe lost the Latino and Asian vote to Trump: The staggering shift of traditional blue voters to the right amid claims they were ‘taken for granted’ and what that means for future elections in the US
- Voter analysis by The New York Times shows precincts where Latinos and Asians make up at least 65 per cent of the population shifted toward President Trump
- Joe Biden still won those precincts in New York, Chicago and Philadelphia, but with smaller margins, compared to 2016
- In Los Angeles, a study of 1,544 voting precincts revealed that votes for Trump increased by 78 per cent
- In New York, votes for the incumbent in areas populated by Latinos and Asian-Americans were up by 78 per cent, compared to 2016
- In the traditionally blue Miami, Trump captured 61 per cent of the voter turnout increase, compared to Biden’s 6 per cent loss
Joe Biden lost a sea of Latino, Asian and immigrant votes in the election after being accused of taking them for granted and not putting in enough campaign outreach before November 3.
Detailed voter analysis by The New York Times that was released on Friday revealed how precincts where Latinos and Asians make up at least 65 per cent of the population in cities like Los Angeles, New York, Chicago, Miami and Philadelphia, pulled away from Biden.
He still won the overall Latino and Asian vote, but not by as much as in years past.
Voter analysis by The New York Times shows that precincts where Latinos and Asian-Americans make up at least 65 per cent of the population shifted toward President Trump in 2020
More Latino voters cast ballots in this year’s election, compared to 2016, and most of those additional votes went to Trump
Biden did slightly better in precincts with majority black voters, but in many of those areas turnout and victory margins both were down, compared to 2016.
In counties where the population is 65 per cent Latino or of Asian descent, Trump made big gains.
For example, in Los Angeles, a study of 1,544 voting precincts revealed that votes for Trump increased by 78 per cent.
Trump also saw major gains in New York, where 38 per cent of residents are immigrants. Like in Los Angeles, votes for the incumbent in precincts densely populated by Latinos and Asian-Americans increased by 78 per cent, compared to 2016, with Biden being up by just 2 per cent in those areas, compared to Hillary Clinton’s results four years ago.
In Chicago, precincts boasting large immigrant populations – including people of Mexican descent and other Latino groups – voter turnout was up this year, and most of the additional voters cast their ballots for Trump.
South Asian, Arab and Eastern European immigrants living in the suburbs of Chicago also favored the Republican president over his Democrat opponent.
In the traditionally blue Miami, Trump captured 61 per cent of the voter turnout increase, compared to Biden’s 6 per cent loss.
Trump peeled off Latino and Asian-American votes in areas with increased turnout in Chicago, New York, Philadelphia and Miami. Joe Biden still won the overall Latino and Asian vote, but not by as much as in years past
Trump proved especially popular among voters of Cuban descent, who tend to skew more conservative, including on issues of religion and abortion.
Biden ultimately won Miami-Dade County with just 7 percentage points, down from Clinton’s 29 percentage point victory in 2016, and lost the state of Florida to Trump.
In the Atlanta area, Trump’s gains in increased voter turnout were more modest, coming at 51 per cent to Biden’s 29 per cent.
In Houston’s 245 precincts with the largest Latino populations, turnout was sharply up compared to 2016, with Trump winning 60 per cent of the additional votes, compared to Biden’s 7 per cent.
Biden still emerged victorious in the November 3 election, capturing 306 of electoral college votes, compared to Trump’s 232, but a closer look at voting patterns in individual precincts and shifts among immigrant voters raise questions about the future of the Democratic party, and its ability to appeal to Latino and Asian-American voters.
At this time, about 13 per cent of the electorate are Hispanic and 4 per cent are Asian-American. By 2032, Hispanic voters are set to make up 18 per cent of the electorate.