Health officials to reveal latest projections for COVID-19 spread in Canada

Federal health officials will release details from the latest COVID-19 modelling today, providing Canadians with insight into whether cases are expected to continue rising or if efforts to flatten the epidemic curve are working.

Chief Public Health Officer Dr. Theresa Tam and Deputy Chief Public Health Officer Dr. Howard Njoo will reveal the projections at a press conference starting at 11:30 a.m. CBC News will carry it live.

Prime Minister Justin Trudeau will also be in attendance.

The last round of projections — released on Oct. 9 — predicted the national caseload would climb to 197,830 by Oct. 17, with up to 9,800 deaths. The announcement came one day after the country recorded a record 2,400 new cases.

National numbers have since surpassed those projections. As of 11:20 a.m. ET on Friday, Canada had 230,547 confirmed or presumptive coronavirus cases, with 27,289 of those active. Provinces and territories listed 193,158 as recovered or resolved. A CBC News tally of deaths based on provincial reports, regional health information and CBC’s reporting stood at 10,100.

While the number of hospitalizations and deaths have both increased recently, they have done so at a slower rate than during the first phase of the pandemic.